Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Elias wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 44.5% vs Smith 49.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 79.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 76.4%
Neutral zone
Elias 70.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Elias
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
Elias
Smith
Last 10: Elias 2-8 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Elias
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
6
Elias
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
7
Elias
Smith
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (954)
48.0% (761)
-3.3%
Power Play
46.9% (196)
70.4% (27)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (180)
49.5% (196)
-13.4%
On power play, Smith has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Elias shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Elias
Smith
Home
46.0% (692)
49.9% (523)
Away
42.2% (677)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Elias
Smith
P1
40.7%
47.5%
P2
46.8%
50.4%
P3
44.0%
48.4%
OT
53.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
41.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Zack Smith |