Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Smith 50.6% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 23-15 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 71.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 82.4%
Neutral zone
Elias 81.7%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Elias
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
23
(38 meetings)
15
23
Elias
Smith
Last 10: Elias 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
3
2
Elias
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
10
Elias
Smith
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
9
11
Elias
Smith
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
51.6% (5,265)
-9.3%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
51.2% (342)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
45.3% (985)
-9.3%
On even strength, Smith has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Elias
Smith
Home
43.2% (1,683)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Elias
Smith
P1
41.1%
49.9%
P2
43.1%
50.0%
P3
43.0%
51.9%
OT
43.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
40.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 10, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |