Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 94.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 54.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 79.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Henrique
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Henrique
Gaustad
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Henrique
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Henrique
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
56.2% (603)
-11.7%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
71.4% (21)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
49.3% (148)
-6.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Henrique
Gaustad
Home
46.9% (680)
55.5% (366)
Away
42.5% (701)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Henrique
Gaustad
P1
43.0%
55.0%
P2
46.2%
56.9%
P3
46.2%
53.7%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |