Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 56.2%
Defensive zone
Gordon 53.5%
Neutral zone
Gordon 51.6%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Gordon
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Gordon
Gaustad
Last 6: Gordon 6-0 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
59.8% (353)
-2.0%
Power Play
73.7% (19)
66.7% (15)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (194)
58.0% (81)
-3.9%
On power play, Gordon has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Gordon is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Gordon shoots right. Gaustad is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Gordon
Gaustad
Home
60.3% (383)
62.1% (195)
Away
54.4% (406)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Gordon
Gaustad
P1
58.4%
59.4%
P2
56.9%
58.1%
P3
58.8%
61.3%
OT
23.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |