Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.4%). Look for Gordon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 83.2%
Defensive zone
Gordon 50.9%
Neutral zone
Gordon 58.7%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Gordon
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Gordon
Gaustad
Last 6: Gordon 6-0 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
5
0
Gordon
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
57.7% (821)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
56.3% (16)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
52.3% (260)
-1.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Gordon shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Gordon
Gaustad
Home
58.4% (586)
58.9% (577)
Away
53.6% (632)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Gordon
Gaustad
P1
55.8%
53.1%
P2
58.1%
57.9%
P3
53.3%
57.8%
OT
68.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2014 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |