Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.7% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 93.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 89.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.7%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Richards
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Richards
Gaustad
Last 5: Richards 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Richards
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
56.2% (603)
-9.0%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
71.4% (21)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.3% (148)
+50.7%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Richards is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Richards shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Richards
Gaustad
Home
52.0% (123)
55.5% (366)
Away
47.2% (127)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Richards
Gaustad
P1
56.3%
55.0%
P2
42.0%
56.9%
P3
50.6%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |