Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 79.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 91.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 76.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Coyle
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Coyle
Gaustad
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
0
Coyle
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Coyle
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
56.2% (603)
-10.2%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
71.4% (21)
-32.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
49.3% (148)
-2.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Coyle is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Coyle shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Coyle
Gaustad
Home
45.8% (251)
55.5% (366)
Away
45.0% (251)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Coyle
Gaustad
P1
49.7%
55.0%
P2
46.9%
56.9%
P3
39.8%
53.7%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |