Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kunitz wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunitz 50.7% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunitz 84.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 66.9%
Neutral zone
Kunitz 58.9%
Result
Chris Kunitz favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Kunitz
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kunitz
Gaustad
Last 6: Kunitz 2-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Kunitz
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
3
Kunitz
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunitz
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (23)
57.8% (854)
-10.0%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
56.0% (25)
+4.0%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kunitz is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Kunitz shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Kunitz
Gaustad
Home
66.7% (15)
61.3% (633)
Away
43.5% (23)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Kunitz
Gaustad
P1
55.6%
57.9%
P2
62.5%
55.3%
P3
41.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
66.7%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunitz
34.0%▼
45.1%
52.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Chris Kunitz |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Chris Kunitz |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |