Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 90.0%
Defensive zone
Helm 77.9%
Neutral zone
Helm 75.0%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Helm
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Helm
Gaustad
Last 10: Helm 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
5
Helm
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
6
Helm
Gaustad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
57.8% (854)
-6.4%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
56.0% (25)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
55.1% (263)
+0.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Helm is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Helm shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Helm
Gaustad
Home
52.8% (371)
61.3% (633)
Away
51.0% (406)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Helm
Gaustad
P1
50.4%
57.9%
P2
54.7%
55.3%
P3
50.6%
58.3%
OT
33.3%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |