Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.2% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 95.7%
Defensive zone
Brassard 69.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 79.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Brassard
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Brassard
Gaustad
Last 9: Brassard 1-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
5
Brassard
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Brassard
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (798)
59.3% (913)
-13.1%
Power Play
56.1% (173)
72.2% (18)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
52.8% (269)
-2.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Brassard is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Brassard shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gaustad
Home
47.5% (459)
58.6% (604)
Away
48.5% (518)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Brassard
Gaustad
P1
48.0%
61.5%
P2
50.1%
55.7%
P3
44.9%
56.6%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |