Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.2% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 96.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 64.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 73.4%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Brassard
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Brassard
Gaustad
Last 10: Brassard 1-9 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
6
Brassard
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Brassard
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,114)
56.2% (603)
-7.3%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
71.4% (21)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
49.3% (148)
-6.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Brassard is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Brassard shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gaustad
Home
50.9% (666)
55.5% (366)
Away
49.6% (680)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Brassard
Gaustad
P1
53.3%
55.0%
P2
47.5%
56.9%
P3
49.9%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |