Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Benn wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.5% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 91.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 59.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 71.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Benn
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Benn
Gaustad
Last 10: Benn 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
0
Benn
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
12
Benn
Gaustad
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Benn
Gaustad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (505)
59.3% (913)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.1% (245)
72.2% (18)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (28)
52.8% (269)
+0.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Benn is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Benn shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Benn
Gaustad
Home
55.5% (398)
58.6% (604)
Away
50.0% (380)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Benn
Gaustad
P1
50.2%
61.5%
P2
56.3%
55.7%
P3
52.1%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |