Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 42.9% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 92.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 90.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 57.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Draisaitl
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Draisaitl
Gaustad
Last 8: Draisaitl 4-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Draisaitl
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Draisaitl
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (270)
57.7% (821)
-16.2%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
56.3% (16)
-20.7%
On power play, Gaustad has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Draisaitl is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gaustad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gaustad
Home
45.1% (164)
58.9% (577)
Away
35.8% (151)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gaustad
P1
48.1%
53.1%
P2
34.8%
57.9%
P3
39.4%
57.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
40.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2014 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |