Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.5% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 72.4%
Defensive zone
Goc 63.1%
Neutral zone
Goc 62.2%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Goc
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Goc
Gaustad
Last 7: Goc 2-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Goc
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (727)
57.8% (854)
-5.5%
Power Play
63.8% (69)
56.0% (25)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (159)
55.1% (263)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Goc shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Goc
Gaustad
Home
54.7% (468)
61.3% (633)
Away
48.8% (510)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Goc
Gaustad
P1
48.9%
57.9%
P2
53.0%
55.3%
P3
52.4%
58.3%
OT
60.9%
64.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |