Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Letestu wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 54.8% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 58.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 88.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 66.3%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Letestu
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Letestu
Gaustad
Last 7: Letestu 6-1 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
3
0
Letestu
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
0
Letestu
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
1
Letestu
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (613)
58.6% (790)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.4% (103)
66.7% (93)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
61.0% (269)
-1.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Letestu is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Letestu shoots right. Gaustad is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Letestu
Gaustad
Home
57.5% (393)
60.6% (554)
Away
53.1% (341)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Letestu
Gaustad
P1
53.3%
61.3%
P2
59.8%
55.5%
P3
53.0%
62.3%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |