Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 51.2% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 72.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 85.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 63.1%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Letestu
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Letestu
Gaustad
Last 5: Letestu 4-1 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
4
0
Letestu
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Letestu
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (755)
56.2% (603)
-3.7%
Power Play
53.3% (167)
71.4% (21)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (240)
49.3% (148)
-3.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Letestu is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Letestu shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Letestu
Gaustad
Home
54.9% (554)
55.5% (366)
Away
48.0% (608)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Letestu
Gaustad
P1
50.7%
55.0%
P2
54.6%
56.9%
P3
48.4%
53.7%
OT
54.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |