Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 51.9% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 69.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 84.9%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 69.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Hanzal
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hanzal
Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
1
Hanzal
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (782)
57.8% (854)
-5.6%
Power Play
55.4% (202)
56.0% (25)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (103)
55.1% (263)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Hanzal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Hanzal shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Gaustad
Home
55.2% (580)
61.3% (633)
Away
48.5% (517)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Hanzal
Gaustad
P1
55.3%
57.9%
P2
51.2%
55.3%
P3
49.0%
58.3%
OT
60.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
52.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |