Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hanzal wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 84.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 70.3%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 54.2%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Hanzal
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hanzal
Gaustad
Last 8: Hanzal 2-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Hanzal
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hanzal
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
Hanzal
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (846)
59.3% (913)
-5.2%
Power Play
62.2% (180)
72.2% (18)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (73)
52.8% (269)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Hanzal is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Hanzal shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Gaustad
Home
56.3% (528)
58.6% (604)
Away
52.9% (571)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Hanzal
Gaustad
P1
58.2%
61.5%
P2
49.5%
55.7%
P3
56.3%
56.6%
OT
52.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
54.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |