Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.8% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 74.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 92.7%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 89.3%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 88.7%
11.3%
88.7%
Talbot
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Talbot
Gaustad
Last 7: Talbot 6-1 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
0
Talbot
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
0
Talbot
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (642)
58.6% (790)
-8.1%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
66.7% (93)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (207)
61.0% (269)
-17.5%
On power play, Gaustad has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Talbot is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Talbot shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Talbot
Gaustad
Home
49.9% (427)
60.6% (554)
Away
47.4% (447)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Talbot
Gaustad
P1
48.4%
61.3%
P2
48.5%
55.5%
P3
48.8%
62.3%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Max Talbot |