Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Jokinen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.8% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 52.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 89.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 77.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Jokinen
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jokinen
Gaustad
Last 6: Jokinen 4-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Jokinen
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,017)
57.8% (854)
-11.0%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
56.0% (25)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (113)
55.1% (263)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Jokinen shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Gaustad
Home
47.1% (652)
61.3% (633)
Away
46.0% (681)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Jokinen
Gaustad
P1
43.8%
57.9%
P2
49.5%
55.3%
P3
44.6%
58.3%
OT
68.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |