Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Nash 48.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 60.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 89.6%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 86.3%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Gaustad
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Gaustad
Nash
Last 9: Gaustad 7-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Gaustad
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
5
0
Gaustad
Nash
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
1
Gaustad
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
48.7% (4,621)
+9.5%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
51.0% (249)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
44.9% (550)
+9.9%
On power play, Gaustad has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Nash
Home
59.5% (2,929)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Gaustad
Nash
P1
58.2%
49.0%
P2
56.4%
47.9%
P3
58.3%
48.0%
OT
66.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
57.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |