Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaustad wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.9% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 53.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 90.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 71.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Last 10: Gaustad 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
3
Gaustad
Getzlaf
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
0
Gaustad
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
1
Gaustad
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (353)
48.1% (607)
+11.7%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
52.2% (67)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (81)
43.1% (65)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Gaustad is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Gaustad shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Home
62.1% (195)
51.2% (326)
Away
57.9% (254)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Gaustad
Getzlaf
P1
59.4%
50.2%
P2
58.1%
47.9%
P3
61.3%
47.0%
OT
66.7%
36.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |