Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 28 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 41-22 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 51.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 95.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 88.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
22
(63 meetings)
41
22
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Last 10: Gaustad 8-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
7
12
Gaustad
Getzlaf
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
25
3
Gaustad
Getzlaf
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
9
7
Gaustad
Getzlaf
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
49.6% (10,258)
+8.6%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
54.9% (1,381)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
44.8% (1,055)
+10.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Home
59.5% (2,929)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Gaustad
Getzlaf
P1
58.2%
49.2%
P2
56.4%
50.4%
P3
58.3%
49.7%
OT
66.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
57.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |