Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Gaustad wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 54.7% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 72.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 97.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 87.3%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Last 10: Gaustad 8-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Gaustad
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
9
0
Gaustad
Getzlaf
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
2
Gaustad
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (603)
48.1% (939)
+8.1%
Power Play
71.4% (21)
56.8% (222)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (148)
41.4% (58)
+7.9%
On power play, Gaustad has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Gaustad shoots left. Getzlaf is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Home
55.5% (366)
49.4% (591)
Away
55.2% (406)
49.4% (628)
By Period
Gaustad
Getzlaf
P1
55.0%
50.0%
P2
56.9%
47.4%
P3
53.7%
50.6%
OT
62.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |