Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Gaustad wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.9% vs Koivu 51.2% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaustad 54.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 83.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 79.4%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Gaustad
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Gaustad
Koivu
Last 10: Gaustad 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaustad
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
5
2
Gaustad
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
2
Gaustad
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (353)
52.5% (631)
+7.3%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
49.3% (73)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (81)
47.6% (147)
+10.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Gaustad shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Koivu
Home
62.1% (195)
51.3% (431)
Away
57.9% (254)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Gaustad
Koivu
P1
59.4%
51.9%
P2
58.1%
52.9%
P3
61.3%
49.8%
OT
66.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |