Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Carrick 52.1% (+5.5%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 60.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Gaustad
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
52.1% (2,513)
+6.1%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
61.3% (75)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
50.7% (430)
+4.1%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Carrick
Home
59.5% (2,929)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Gaustad
Carrick
P1
58.2%
51.8%
P2
56.4%
52.2%
P3
58.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
57.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%