Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Gaustad wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Weiss 53.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Weiss 75.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 85.1%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 78.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Gaustad
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
16
(37 meetings)
21
16
Gaustad
Weiss
Last 10: Gaustad 7-3 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
3
4
Gaustad
Weiss
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
13
3
Gaustad
Weiss
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
5
9
Gaustad
Weiss
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
53.0% (2,521)
+5.2%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
54.6% (560)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
49.4% (245)
+5.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Gaustad shoots left. Weiss is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,175).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Weiss
Home
59.5% (2,929)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Gaustad
Weiss
P1
58.2%
53.5%
P2
56.4%
54.2%
P3
58.3%
52.2%
OT
66.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |