Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Stastny 54.4% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 62.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 58.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 62.0%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Gaudette
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gaudette
Stastny
Last 9: Gaudette 3-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Gaudette
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudette
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Gaudette
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
53.6% (859)
-12.6%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
59.9% (202)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
55.1% (78)
-12.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Gaudette is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Gaudette shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Stastny
Home
46.0% (250)
56.9% (596)
Away
35.3% (204)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Gaudette
Stastny
P1
40.8%
53.9%
P2
42.8%
56.2%
P3
39.7%
54.4%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
41.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |