Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.4% vs Stastny 54.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 93.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 61.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 87.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Coleman
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coleman
Stastny
Last 7: Coleman 5-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
3
1
Coleman
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (430)
54.8% (1,130)
-6.7%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
59.1% (235)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
49.3% (150)
-6.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Coleman is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Coleman shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Coleman
Stastny
Home
47.5% (221)
55.5% (803)
Away
46.5% (316)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Coleman
Stastny
P1
46.7%
57.4%
P2
52.4%
52.5%
P3
42.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
36.0%▼
45.5%
46.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |