Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Stastny 57.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 68.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 93.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 92.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Richards
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Richards
Stastny
Last 9: Richards 7-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
0
Richards
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
57.6% (959)
-8.6%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
60.8% (125)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
58.1% (74)
-18.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Richards
Stastny
Home
49.8% (424)
55.9% (590)
Away
46.9% (401)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Richards
Stastny
P1
51.3%
59.6%
P2
44.8%
59.0%
P3
49.2%
55.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Brad Richards |