Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 78.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 53.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Sutter
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Sutter
Stastny
Last 10: Sutter 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Sutter
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
6
Sutter
Stastny
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,005)
55.0% (1,136)
-3.4%
Power Play
36.5% (52)
57.5% (200)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (211)
53.1% (64)
-4.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Sutter shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stastny
Home
49.3% (663)
58.5% (744)
Away
51.7% (632)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Sutter
Stastny
P1
48.0%
57.9%
P2
50.4%
54.9%
P3
53.4%
53.0%
OT
38.1%
72.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2012 | OT | 03:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |