Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Stastny 53.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 65.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 83.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 68.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Sutter
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Sutter
Stastny
Last 8: Sutter 1-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Sutter
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Sutter
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Sutter
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
53.2% (995)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
57.6% (158)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
61.4% (57)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Stastny is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stastny
Home
48.5% (542)
55.1% (586)
Away
47.0% (608)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Sutter
Stastny
P1
49.2%
54.7%
P2
49.4%
53.1%
P3
44.6%
54.2%
OT
52.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | OT | 04:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |