Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.8% vs Stastny 54.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 64.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 51.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 52.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Boyle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyle
Stastny
Last 5: Boyle 2-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Boyle
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (157)
52.8% (657)
-3.1%
Power Play
57.0% (142)
61.0% (118)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
32.4% (34)
61.1% (72)
-28.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Boyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Boyle shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Boyle
Stastny
Home
56.1% (148)
53.0% (464)
Away
47.0% (185)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Boyle
Stastny
P1
49.5%
47.9%
P2
56.6%
59.6%
P3
47.1%
54.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |