Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Rowney wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 52.2% vs Stastny 54.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 77.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 77.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Rowney
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rowney
Stastny
Last 5: Rowney 2-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Rowney
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
0
Rowney
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Rowney
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (219)
54.8% (1,130)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (91)
49.3% (150)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Rowney is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Rowney shoots right. Stastny is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Rowney
Stastny
Home
55.3% (152)
55.5% (803)
Away
50.6% (158)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Rowney
Stastny
P1
54.1%
57.4%
P2
49.6%
52.5%
P3
54.3%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
69.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |