Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.1%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Conroy wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Conroy 52.2% vs Stastny 53.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.2%
Defensive zone
Conroy 69.2%
Neutral zone
Conroy 59.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Conroy
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Conroy
Stastny
Last 7: Conroy 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
Conroy
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Conroy
2
0
Conroy
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Conroy
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (124)
52.2% (1,107)
+2.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
61.0% (254)
+39.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (62)
46.4% (138)
+2.0%
On power play, Conroy has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Conroy is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Conroy shoots right. Stastny is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Conroy
Stastny
Home
58.7% (92)
52.5% (785)
Away
48.5% (97)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Conroy
Stastny
P1
54.9%
51.3%
P2
54.8%
55.2%
P3
49.1%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Conroy
44.0%▼
53.4%
53.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Craig Conroy |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Craig Conroy |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |