Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Belanger wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 52.9% vs Stastny 52.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 72.0%
Defensive zone
Belanger 59.3%
Neutral zone
Belanger 56.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Belanger
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Belanger
Stastny
Last 10: Belanger 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Belanger
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Belanger
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (270)
51.0% (588)
+7.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
60.6% (104)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (99)
51.7% (89)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Belanger is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Belanger shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Belanger
Stastny
Home
50.9% (159)
54.0% (400)
Away
55.7% (219)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Belanger
Stastny
P1
52.3%
57.8%
P2
51.5%
52.5%
P3
58.3%
47.5%
OT
57.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |