Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Haula wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Stastny 55.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 57.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 56.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 55.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Haula
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Haula
Stastny
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Haula
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
5
Haula
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
5
Haula
Stastny
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (684)
55.4% (1,004)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
59.0% (210)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
54.1% (196)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Haula is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Haula shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Haula
Stastny
Home
55.2% (355)
56.5% (717)
Away
52.7% (395)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Haula
Stastny
P1
53.2%
56.7%
P2
54.7%
57.7%
P3
54.4%
52.1%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |