Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.9% vs Stastny 54.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 85.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 69.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 73.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
McCann
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McCann
Stastny
Last 6: McCann 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
McCann
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
0
McCann
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (477)
53.6% (859)
-7.1%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
59.9% (202)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
55.1% (78)
-8.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McCann is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (379).
McCann shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
McCann
Stastny
Home
46.3% (296)
56.9% (596)
Away
46.5% (275)
52.5% (543)
By Period
McCann
Stastny
P1
49.4%
53.9%
P2
44.5%
56.2%
P3
46.0%
54.4%
OT
42.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jared McCann |