Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.5% vs Stastny 54.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 84.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 79.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 52.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Beagle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Beagle
Stastny
Last 6: Beagle 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Beagle
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Beagle
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (572)
52.8% (657)
+4.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.0% (118)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (179)
61.1% (72)
-8.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Beagle is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Beagle shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Beagle
Stastny
Home
58.2% (378)
53.0% (464)
Away
54.2% (380)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Beagle
Stastny
P1
58.8%
47.9%
P2
51.9%
59.6%
P3
58.1%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |