Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 51.8% vs Stastny 57.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 66.9%
Defensive zone
Colborne 60.9%
Neutral zone
Colborne 62.6%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Colborne
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Colborne
Stastny
Last 6: Colborne 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
2
1
Colborne
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Colborne
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Colborne
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (284)
57.6% (959)
-5.5%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
60.8% (125)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
58.1% (74)
-4.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Colborne is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Colborne shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Colborne
Stastny
Home
60.7% (163)
55.9% (590)
Away
44.5% (173)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Colborne
Stastny
P1
59.3%
59.6%
P2
47.0%
59.0%
P3
52.4%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |