Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.4%). Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Stastny 52.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 65.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 54.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Couture
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Couture
Stastny
Last 7: Couture 5-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
3
1
Couture
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (453)
51.0% (588)
+0.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
60.6% (104)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
51.7% (89)
+7.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Couture is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Couture shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Couture
Stastny
Home
54.4% (261)
54.0% (400)
Away
48.2% (228)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Couture
Stastny
P1
57.6%
57.8%
P2
48.4%
52.5%
P3
47.7%
47.5%
OT
54.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Logan Couture |