Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Stastny 57.3% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 65.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 67.1%
Neutral zone
Couture 66.4%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Couture
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Couture
Stastny
Last 6: Couture 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Couture
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Couture
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (879)
57.6% (959)
-8.3%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
60.8% (125)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (80)
58.1% (74)
-26.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Couture is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Couture shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Couture
Stastny
Home
51.4% (521)
55.9% (590)
Away
44.6% (469)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Couture
Stastny
P1
44.0%
59.6%
P2
48.3%
59.0%
P3
53.1%
55.3%
OT
28.6%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Logan Couture |