Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Stastny 54.2% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 77.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 72.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 73.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Couture
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Couture
Stastny
Last 6: Couture 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Couture
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Couture
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Couture
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (526)
52.8% (657)
-6.4%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
61.0% (118)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
61.1% (72)
-13.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Couture is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Couture shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Couture
Stastny
Home
46.5% (333)
53.0% (464)
Away
46.0% (276)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Couture
Stastny
P1
45.7%
47.9%
P2
43.7%
59.6%
P3
48.7%
54.9%
OT
83.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |