Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.3% vs Stastny 54.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 50.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 87.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 66.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Bonino
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Bonino
Stastny
Last 10: Bonino 1-9 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Bonino
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Bonino
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (717)
53.6% (859)
-1.6%
Power Play
62.7% (67)
59.9% (202)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (144)
55.1% (78)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Bonino shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Bonino
Stastny
Home
54.8% (429)
56.9% (596)
Away
50.7% (499)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Bonino
Stastny
P1
53.5%
53.9%
P2
49.5%
56.2%
P3
54.8%
54.4%
OT
45.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |