Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Zacha 50.1% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 64.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 68.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Stastny
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Stastny
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Stastny
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Stastny
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
48.0% (296)
+11.2%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
61.0% (59)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
50.0% (22)
+1.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Stastny shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Stastny
Zacha
Home
57.7% (215)
48.9% (223)
Away
55.6% (257)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Stastny
Zacha
P1
57.7%
47.9%
P2
54.2%
48.3%
P3
57.7%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |