Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Regin 49.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 60.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 74.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Stastny
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stastny
Regin
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
1
Stastny
Regin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Regin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stastny
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,136)
52.2% (46)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.5% (200)
66.7% (3)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
30.0% (10)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Stastny shoots left. Regin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Stastny
Regin
Home
58.5% (744)
44.7% (47)
Away
52.1% (680)
66.7% (12)
By Period
Stastny
Regin
P1
57.9%
47.8%
P2
54.9%
52.9%
P3
53.0%
43.8%
OT
72.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Peter Regin |