Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Regin 44.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 76.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 75.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Stastny
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stastny
Regin
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
1
Stastny
Regin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Regin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stastny
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
45.8% (836)
+8.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
39.2% (74)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
24.7% (73)
+28.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Regin is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Stastny
Regin
Home
55.9% (7,073)
42.6% (533)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
45.1% (450)
By Period
Stastny
Regin
P1
56.3%
46.7%
P2
55.4%
43.9%
P3
53.5%
40.8%
OT
62.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Peter Regin |