Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Danault 54.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 72.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 71.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 57.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Stastny
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stastny
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
55.1% (953)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
64.6% (144)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
42.0% (176)
+2.4%
On power play, Danault has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Stastny
Danault
Home
58.3% (276)
55.4% (641)
Away
56.7% (210)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Stastny
Danault
P1
63.7%
61.0%
P2
57.3%
52.3%
P3
50.4%
51.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |