Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Engvall shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Engvall 43.7% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 93.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 84.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 92.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Stastny
Engvall
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Stastny
Engvall
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Engvall
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
1
Stastny
Engvall
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Engvall
1
3
Stastny
Engvall
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
0
Stastny
Engvall
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
41.8% (471)
+12.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
53.7% (41)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
41.2% (51)
+11.7%
On even strength, Stastny has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Engvall is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Stastny
Engvall
Home
55.9% (7,073)
45.6% (248)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
40.3% (315)
By Period
Stastny
Engvall
P1
56.3%
45.3%
P2
55.4%
43.1%
P3
53.5%
39.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:54 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| May 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |