Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Engvall shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Engvall 50.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 86.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 67.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 66.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Stastny
Engvall
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stastny
Engvall
Last 6: Stastny 4-2 Engvall
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Engvall
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Engvall
0
2
Stastny
Engvall
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Engvall
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
42.9% (49)
+14.6%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
84.6% (13)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
50.0% (2)
-5.6%
On power play, Engvall has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. Engvall is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Stastny
Engvall
Home
58.3% (276)
62.2% (37)
Away
56.7% (210)
37.0% (27)
By Period
Stastny
Engvall
P1
63.7%
69.6%
P2
57.3%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
26.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |